Jun 26, 2026 · Episode 729

Meta’s Prediction Market App, Europe vs. Big Tech, and Hollywood’s Comeback

2 predictions · 1–1 · 50% accuracy

Scott's predictions2

Bending Spoons' IPO, which is pricing the week after June 24, 2026, will have the largest first-day price pop of any tech IPO this month, surpassing SpaceX's IPO.
“The biggest IPO of this... The biggest tech IPO of this month in terms of First Day Pop is not SpaceX. It's actually a European tech media company that's pricing next week.”
Markets · Checkable · by Jun 30, 2026
Came trueResolved Jul 1, 2026
Bending Spoons will price its IPO at a valuation of seven to eight times its revenue (roughly $17.5 billion to $20 billion given ~$2.5 billion in revenue).
“2,500,000,000 2,500,000,000 in revenues. It'll go out at seven to eight times revenues.”
Markets · Checkable · by Jul 10, 2026 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jun 30, 2026