5 predictions · 1–1 · 50% accuracy
“What I believe is gonna happen is that that... Those good times and that unearned income is about to come to an end, and I think you're gonna see a lot of that capital flow to the new arbiter who get... Who who gets elected, and that is podcasts.”
Media · Judgment call · by Nov 3, 2026 (inferred)
“these tariffs are not gonna happen at nearly the scale that, Trump is threatening because you're gonna see, given that Trump is a lame duck president, given that a lot of Republicans do have a business background, and I do think a lot of them understand economics, are gonna decide to go out on a limb and say, if you wanna increase the price of 88% of the toys under the Christmas tree by 60%, I am not down with that, and I have concerns.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2025 (inferred)
Only if: Trump imposes large tariffs (e.g., 60%) on Chinese goods
“I'm gonna place 60% tariffs on China. Well, guess what? China is not a speed bag. It will hit you back. And they too will go, fuck you, boss. We're putting 60% tariffs on everything that comes into China.”
Politics · Conditional · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2025 (inferred)
“I wonder if her political career's over, and she's gonna go be the head... The chair of a private equity firm and just make bank. I don't think she's... If I'm vice president Harris, why wouldn't she go be, like, chairman of the Carlyle Group, make a lot of money, and just enjoy her life?”
Politics · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2026 (inferred)
Only if: a Democratic president is elected next
“I wouldn't be surprised, Kara, if her... Okay. And this is what I think her next stop is. I think under the next democratic president, she becomes a supreme court justice. I think that is what her political future is.”
Politics · Conditional · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2032 (inferred)
