Oct 25, 2019 · Episode 63

The screw-up-billionaire, quantum computers, and the skewering of Zuckerberg

5 predictions · 3–2 · 60% accuracy

Scott's predictions5

Read the transcript →

The combined polling support currently held by Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden (roughly 50 points) will shift away to other Democratic primary candidates within the next sixty days (by December 24, 2019).
“You have, you have 50 points of share between, Bernie Sanders and, Joe Biden. And I think that that is all gonna go somewhere else in the next sixty days.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Dec 24, 2019
Didn’t happenResolved Dec 24, 2019
Pete Buttigieg's support in the Democratic primary polling will surge in the near term (within about thirty days of October 25, 2019).
“But I think mayor Pete is about to surge”
Politics · Judgment call · by Nov 24, 2019 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Nov 16, 2019
A new candidate — either Hillary Clinton, Michael Bloomberg, or another not-yet-declared individual — will enter the 2020 Democratic presidential primary race.
“We're gonna have a new entrant. I mean, Hillary Clinton's talking about getting back in the race, mayor Bloomberg or an unknown.”
Politics · Either/or · Checkable · by Nov 24, 2019 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Nov 24, 2019
Pete Buttigieg will be the biggest gainer in Democratic primary polling over the thirty days following October 25, 2019 (by November 24, 2019).
“Prediction my prediction is the the biggest winner over the next thirty days is gonna be Mayor Pete.”
Politics · Checkable · by Nov 24, 2019
Came trueResolved Nov 24, 2019
Joe Biden will lose a significant amount of polling support share in the Democratic primary in the coming weeks/months.
“So we should revisit that because I think he's gonna give up a lot of share.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Dec 24, 2019 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Dec 24, 2019