Feb 4, 2020 · Episode 78

IBM leadership shuffle, Amazon earnings, plus "Friend of Pivot” Jon Lovett pops in from Iowa to talk Trump’s inevitable ad operation

4 predictions · 3–1 · 75% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

No candidate will emerge as a dominant winner from the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses.
“I think it's gonna play... I think Bloomberg's gonna be the winner in the sense that no dominant victor's gonna come out.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Feb 4, 2020 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Feb 4, 2020
After the early primary contests, media and political commentary will start treating Michael Bloomberg as a viable presidential candidate.
“And I think all of a sudden everyone's going to start talking about Bloomberg as a viable candidate.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Mar 3, 2020 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Feb 2020
Pete Buttigieg will do well in the 2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses.
“And I'm biased, but there's I think Mayor Pete is going to do well.”
Politics · Checkable · by Feb 4, 2020 (inferred)
Came true
Bernie Sanders has significant momentum in the Democratic primary race going into Super Tuesday.
“Bernie's got momentum. He does.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Mar 3, 2020 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Mar 3, 2020