May 5, 2023 · Episode 402

Regulating AI, Culture Wars at the School Play, and Guest Anne Applebaum on Ukraine

4 predictions · 1–3 · 25% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

The U.S. regional banking crisis will continue beyond May 2023.
“I think we're going to see the banking crisis continues.”
Markets · Judgment call · by May 5, 2024 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Jul 2023
The U.S. government will raise or eliminate the $250,000 FDIC insurance cap within about a year of May 2023.
“So I think we're going to see a massive increase or even a removal of the cap of FDIC insurance.”
Politics · Checkable · by May 5, 2024 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved May 2024
Within three to thirty-six months of May 2023, it will be revealed that short sellers weaponized social media bots to spread panic about regional banks for financial gain.
“And I think we're gonna find out in three months, thirty six months, is there are a lot of short sellers who created... Who could weaponize media, given new media platforms in the speed and the circulation of catastrophizing media that weaponize these platforms for financial incentive to take these...”
Markets · Judgment call · by May 5, 2026
Didn’t happenResolved May 5, 2026
Senator Dianne Feinstein will resign from the U.S. Senate within approximately two weeks of May 5, 2023.
“And then my final prediction is I think, senator Feinstein is gonna resign in the next couple of weeks.”
Politics · Checkable · by May 19, 2023
Didn’t happenResolved May 19, 2023