Oct 11, 2024 · Episode 557

Google’s Potential Break Up, Hurricane Conspiracies, and Guests Susanne Craig and Russ Buettner

3 predictions · 1–2 · 33% accuracy

Scott's predictions3

Donald Trump is using covered calls (selling call options) against his roughly 80 million Trump Media & Technology Group shares to generate cash despite not selling the underlying shares.
“I wouldn't be surprised if he is doing covered calls against his 80,000,000 shares.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Oct 11, 2025 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Oct 2025
Election-related misinformation will dramatically escalate from its current level to a much more severe level in the three weeks following October 11, 2024, before the November 5, 2024 US election.
“My prediction is we are at a category three hurricane of misinformation. It's about to go in the next three weeks to categories five and six.”
Media · Judgment call · by Nov 1, 2024
Didn’t happenResolved Nov 1, 2024
Deepfake videos depicting violence at polling stations, intended to suppress voter turnout, will circulate before the November 5, 2024 US election.
“I think we're gonna see videos of violence at polling stations that are deepfakes trying to suppress the turnout.”
Media · Judgment call · by Nov 5, 2024
Came trueResolved Nov 5, 2024