Apr 26, 2019 · Episode 32

The FTC & the "Algebra of Deterrence"

3 predictions · 0–2 · 0% accuracy

Scott's predictions3

The SEC will take enforcement action against Tesla/Elon Musk over his claim of a million autonomous cars within a year, treating it as market manipulation, and this will significantly harm Tesla shareholders.
“his board is so clearly out to lunch that they don't realize the SEC is about to make this market manipulation exhibit b. This board is asleep at the switch and is gonna cost shareholders huge when it becomes clear there's no truth, there's no veracity of this statement, and the SEC is about to go gangster on this guy.”
Markets · Checkable · by Apr 26, 2020 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Apr 2020
By the end of 2019, a Facebook executive will be detained and arrested while on foreign soil.
“my big prediction is that by the end of this year, a Facebook executive is detained and arrested, and it's on foreign soil.”
Tech · Checkable · by Dec 31, 2019
Didn’t happenResolved Dec 31, 2019
If Mark Zuckerberg flies his private plane over British airspace, British authorities will force the plane down and arrest him.
Only if: Mark Zuckerberg flies his plane over or near British airspace
“If I were Mark Zuckerberg, I would not be flying my my Gulfstream six fifty extended range plane over anywhere near British airspace because I think they will escort it down and put cuffs on the guy.”
Politics · Conditional · Checkable · by Dec 31, 2019 (inferred)
Didn’t apply