May 5, 2020 · Episode 104

Congress weighs liability for businesses, Amazon will put its $4billion profit into its supply chain, and Anand Giridharadas on "Rich Corona; Poor Corona"

6 predictions · 2–3 · 40% accuracy

Scott's predictions6

Read the transcript →

A wave of additional retail companies will file for bankruptcy in the months following May 2020.
“We're gonna see just a raft of retail bankruptcy,”
Markets · Checkable · by May 5, 2021 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Dec 2020
Gap Inc. will go out of business.
“The gap could probably go out of business, which is is staggering to feel.”
Markets · Checkable · by May 5, 2021 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved May 2021
Most department store chains, especially in retail apparel, will file for bankruptcy.
“I don't wanna be a grave dancer and send stocks down, but most of the department stores, especially retail apparel.”
Markets · Checkable · by May 5, 2021 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved May 5, 2021
Sephora and Restoration Hardware will emerge relatively stronger from the COVID-19 crisis compared to competitors.
“Your Sephora's, your restoration hardwares are gonna be stronger coming out of this.”
Markets · Judgment call · by May 5, 2021 (inferred)
Came trueResolved May 5, 2021
Quibi will be sold, likely for a nominal price, within six months of May 2020.
“I think Quibi probably gets sold in the next six months, and it'll be a it'll be a mercy killing. It'll get sold for sold for a dollar to somebody.”
M&A · Checkable · by Nov 5, 2020
Didn’t happenResolved Oct 22, 2020
Amazon Fulfillment will become an independent entity and will be worth one of the ten most valuable companies on its own.
Only if: Amazon is broken up into separate companies
“it's gonna make it only that much more interesting when we break up that company, and Amazon Fulfillment becomes its own entity. That That company can end up being on its own worth one of the 10 most”
M&A · Conditional · Judgment call · by May 5, 2025 (inferred)
Didn’t applyResolved May 5, 2025