Jan 15, 2021 · Episode 169

Impeachment number 2, Airbnb cancels DC reservations, and rebranding America

4 predictions · 1–3 · 25% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

The consumer economy and consumer discretionary/cyclical stocks will roar (grow strongly) over the next 12 to 24 months from January 2021.
“I think that consumer stocks and the consumer economy is gonna roar for the next twelve to twenty four months.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Jan 15, 2023
Didn’t happenResolved 2022
Tech stocks will not decline (crash) in the short term following January 2021.
“So don't see in the short term, I don't see any catalyst for why they would come down. And that's about the moment that they crash. But I don't see them coming down in the short term.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Jul 15, 2021 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Jul 2021
Many businesses that received PPP loans, which were already failing before the pandemic, will ultimately go out of business.
“think we're going find a lot of those businesses that got PPP loans. We were just building peers, not bridges, to tomorrow.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Jan 15, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jan 15, 2022
A third of restaurants in the US will go out of business as a result of the pandemic's economic impact.
“A third of restaurants could go away.”
Markets · Checkable · by Jan 15, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jan 15, 2022