6 predictions · 4–1 · 80% accuracy
“I think the government shutdown's over by the time you and I speak again.”
Politics · Checkable · by Feb 1, 2019
“My sense is that shit's about to get real, that we're on the verge of either a, you know, a disaster or a national security breach that will be directly reverse engineered to the shutdown.”
Politics · Either/or · Judgment call · by Mar 1, 2019 (inferred)
“Some sort of deal where both sides claim victory. It'll be the president, I wanna say blinking first or squinting first, he'll claim that he got what he wanted.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Feb 1, 2019
Only if: Something bad happens on a national security level
“Anything bad happens in the next... The next time something really bad happens on a national security level, people are gonna immediately assign the shutdown to it. That is gonna be bad for both parties.”
Politics · Conditional · Judgment call · by Mar 1, 2019 (inferred)
“I think it's also gonna be a rough year for Tesla, I know you love Elon Musk.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2019
“the question is, will Tesla change the world or will they go out of business? And I think the answer is yes, but I think we're about to start the latter part of that.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2019 (inferred)