Nov 12, 2021

GE’s Three-Way Split, Facebook Scraps “Sensitive”Ad-Targeting Categories, and Friend of Pivot, Jonathan Haidt

4 predictions · 1–3 · 25% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

In 2022, there will be a wave of major mergers and acquisitions among tech/social media companies driven by the pursuit of building a 'super app'.
“2022 is gonna be the the year of staggering M and A all in the pursuit of a super app.”
M&A · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2022
Didn’t happenResolved Dec 31, 2022
Within the two months following November 12, 2021, Twitter under Jack Dorsey will clean up a large number of fake/spam accounts, resulting in weak reported earnings and user growth.
“I think Jack Dorsey is gonna see God over the next two months clean up a ton of accounts, show shitty earnings and growth, puke on himself, the stock will go down to 40,”
Tech · Checkable · by Jan 12, 2022
Didn’t happenResolved Jan 12, 2022
Twitter's stock price will fall to $40 per share.
“the stock will go down to 40, and then Square is gonna acquire Twitter and try and become a Tencent.”
Markets · Checkable · by Dec 31, 2022 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Jan 2022
Square will acquire Twitter in an attempt to become a Tencent-like super app.
“and then Square is gonna acquire Twitter and try and become a Tencent.”
M&A · Checkable · by Dec 31, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Oct 28, 2022