Apr 19, 2019 · Episode 31

Uber's IPO and, more importantly, Game of Thrones

3 predictions · 1–2 · 33% accuracy

Scott's predictions3

By the end of 2019, the group of 'unicorn' companies that went public during the year will have a combined market capitalization lower than their combined market capitalization at the time of their IPOs, i.e., the unicorn class as a group will have lost value.
“I think when we look at 2019 in retrospect, all of the unicorns that have gone public will have lost more market cap than they've gained. I think that their IPO prices combined... Their their market cap combined will be greater on the day of their IPOs and will be twelve months on. I think the unicorn class is gonna lose in in '19.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2019
Came trueResolved Dec 31, 2019
If Facebook announces an Instagram initiative involving pins or boards, Pinterest will not successfully complete its IPO.
Only if: Facebook announces an initiative with Instagram that involves some sort of pins or boards
“But if Facebook announced an initiative with Instagram that involves some sort of pins or boards, I don't think Pinterest gets out.”
Tech · Conditional · Judgment call · by Jul 19, 2019 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jul 2019
In the final season of Game of Thrones, Jaime Lannister will kill Cersei Lannister.
“Jaime Lann... The Lannister is going to kill Cersei. You heard it here, Kara.”
Media · Checkable · by May 19, 2019 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved May 12, 2019