Jul 5, 2019 · Episode 42

Fish and Chips and Biden and Harris and Reddit and Twitter

4 predictions · 2–2 · 50% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

La Croix will lose more consumer market share than Bubly (a Pepsi brand) over the thirty days following July 5, 2019.
“It's gonna be La Croix. The sparkling water's gonna get its butt kicked by Bubly, a Pepsi brand,”
Markets · Judgment call · by Aug 4, 2019
Came trueResolved Jul 14, 2019
Joe Biden's campaign, framed as a 'third term of Obama,' will not have strong appeal to Democratic primary voters.
“And I don't think that Joe Biden... The third term of Obama is gonna have a ton of appeal.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Jan 5, 2020 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jan 5, 2020
The combined polling share of Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, then at 50-60 points, will decline by 20-30 points.
“I think that their combined share of 50 or 60 points is gonna decline 20 or 30 points,”
Politics · Checkable · by Jan 5, 2020 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jan 5, 2020
A new crop of Democratic presidential nominees or contenders (beyond Biden and Sanders) will emerge as serious contenders in the 2020 primary race.
“and we're gonna see a new crop of nominees or contenders emerge.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Jan 5, 2020 (inferred)
Came trueResolved Oct 2019