Jun 27, 2025 · Episode 629

Mamdani's Victory, Iran Nuclear Damage Dispute, and Fed Chair Succession

3 predictions · 1–1 · 50% accuracy

Scott's predictions3

What is currently believed or reported about the outcome and details of the U.S./Israeli strikes on Iran's nuclear program will later be shown to be inaccurate.
“It's just that everything we think we know about these attacks in Iran, we don't know.”
Politics · Unfalsifiable · by Jun 27, 2026 (inferred)
Can’t be gradedToo vague
Reed Hastings will join the board of Anthropic.
“Reed Hastings going on the board of Anthropic.”
Tech · Checkable · by Jun 27, 2026 (inferred)
Came true
Anthropic and Netflix will form a joint venture that competes with TikTok.
“We are going to have an anthropic Netflix joint venture that will compete with TikTok.”
Tech · Checkable · by Jun 27, 2026 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Jun 2026