Mar 29, 2019 · Episode 28

Will the rising tide of ride sharing Lyft all boats?

4 predictions · 1–1 · 50% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

Lyft's stock will pop to around $100 on its first trade on its IPO day (March 29, 2019), up from its $71 IPO price.
“Lyft pops to 100. Supposedly coming out at $71.”
Markets · Checkable · by Mar 29, 2019
Didn’t happenResolved Mar 29, 2019
Within one year of its IPO (by around March 2020), Lyft will become a 'broken IPO,' trading below its $71 IPO price.
“And then within a year, it's a broken IPO.”
Markets · Checkable · by Mar 29, 2020
Came trueResolved Apr 1, 2019
Airbnb will become one of the most valuable newly public companies due to its network effects.
Only if: If Airbnb's IPO happens in 2019
“the one that is gonna be the gangster IPO of '19 if it happens and the one company that has network effects and will be one of the most valuable companies Airbnb.”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2019
Didn’t applyResolved Dec 31, 2019
Airbnb's IPO will be the standout ('gangster') IPO of 2019.
Only if: If Airbnb's IPO happens in 2019
“the one that is gonna be the gangster IPO of '19 if it happens and the one company that has network effects and will be one of the most valuable companies Airbnb.”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Dec 31, 2019
Didn’t applyResolved Dec 31, 2019