Apr 6, 2021 · Episode 192

Global corporate tax, Facebook's data breach and a Friend of Pivot on "cancel culture"

4 predictions · 1–2 · 33% accuracy

Scott's predictions4

Read the transcript →

Smaller, 'tier two' national currencies (such as Brazil's real) will significantly weaken or decline in value as major digital/crypto currencies (yuan, euro, dollar, yen) dominate.
“things like the real, I think other kind of tier two currencies are just going to get hammered.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Apr 6, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Apr 2022
If India decides to embrace Bitcoin as a default currency, Bitcoin's price will skyrocket.
Only if: India decides to embrace Bitcoin as its default currency/cryptocurrency
“if India decides to embrace Bitcoin, you could see Bitcoin go to skyrocket”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Apr 6, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t applyResolved Nov 2021
The U.S. real economy will boom over the coming year.
Only if: No new COVID-19 variant emerges that can evade the vaccines
“I'm very confident the real economy, unless there's some sort of variant that shows up that can sneak around the vaccine, which is why we all need to get vaccinated sooner rather than later. But other than that, the real economy is going to boom,”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Apr 6, 2022 (inferred)
Came trueResolved 2021
GDP could rise 8%, consumer spending could reach an all-time high, and the stock market could correct by 20%, all within the same period.
“You could see a market where the GDP goes up 8%, consumer spending is at all time high, and the market corrects 20%. Those could happen.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Apr 6, 2022 (inferred)
Didn’t happenResolved Apr 2022