Apr 24, 2026 · Episode 712

Tucker Carlson's Rebrand, Apple’s New Era, and SpaceX’s AI Deal

3 predictions · 0–0 · — accuracy

Scott's predictions3

When SpaceX conducts its IPO, Tesla's stock valuation (multiple) will decline proportionately as investors shift the speculative 'Elon premium' from Tesla to SpaceX shares.
Only if: The SpaceX IPO goes out (occurs)
“Yeah. I think... So my my prediction is that when the SpaceX value... When the SpaceX IPO goes out, you will see an almost... Not an equivalent, but a proportionate decline in the value of Tesla.”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Apr 24, 2027 (inferred)
Not due yetDue Apr 24, 2027
Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus programs will not have generated significant financial payoff within five years (by around 2031).
“In addition, Robotaxi and Optimus are long shot bets that may not pay off for five years, if at all.”
Tech · Judgment call · by Apr 24, 2031
Not due yetDue Apr 24, 2031
Humanoid robots performing household tasks like bringing someone soup will not become a widespread reality in the near term.
“I think the notion that you're gonna have a robot in your house bringing you your soup or whatever, I just don't... I don't I don't see that.”
Tech · Judgment call · by Apr 24, 2031 (inferred)
Not due yetDue Apr 24, 2031