7 predictions · 4–2 · 67% accuracy
“I think that inflation and the ten year bond are gonna be the adults in the room”
Markets · Judgment call · by Apr 17, 2025 (inferred)
“the cost of a washing machine or a garage door is up 40 or 60%. And that month, you see a bump up in CPI, and the tenure goes fucking crazy.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Apr 17, 2025 (inferred)
“And that month, you see a bump up in CPI, and the tenure goes fucking crazy.”
Markets · Checkable · by Apr 17, 2025 (inferred)
“And by the way, these folks, the next day, will implement reciprocal tariffs.”
Politics · Checkable · by Jul 17, 2025 (inferred)
“She said it's gonna be all about liquid natural gas.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Jan 17, 2026 (inferred)
Only if: Inflation starts to spike
“if inflation starts to spike, all of his grandiose plans around tariffs, it's gonna come undone.”
Politics · Conditional · Judgment call · by Jul 17, 2025 (inferred)
“my prediction is that the rebuild effort, as we begin to cost it out, are gonna shine a light on the inflationary pressures of kind of Trump's signature policies.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Jul 17, 2025 (inferred)
