5 predictions · 2–2 · 50% accuracy
“I do think we're gonna see... I think the first realization of all the catastrophizing that's going around in AI is gonna come to light in the next twelve to eighteen months, or it's gonna happen in the next twelve to eighteen months.”
Tech · Judgment call · by Dec 2, 2024
Only if: whether Donald Trump is elected U.S. president in November 2024
“Because the shortest path to victory in Ukraine for Russia is very simple. If Trump is elected, they win the war. If Trump is not elected, they're gonna lose this war. It comes... It's that simple.”
Politics · Conditional · Judgment call · by Nov 5, 2025 (inferred)
Only if: nothing unusual/weird happens before the election
“Right now, it looks like unless something weird happens, it looks like Biden handily beats him.”
Politics · Conditional · Checkable · by Nov 5, 2024 (inferred)
“You're about to see the mother of all AI generated misinformation around this election.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Nov 5, 2024
“You know who's gonna get a lot of attention is vice president Harris.”
Politics · Judgment call · by Nov 5, 2024 (inferred)
