5 predictions · 1–4 · 20% accuracy
“I wonder if CFIUS is gonna reject this deal.”
Politics · Checkable · by Dec 18, 2020 (inferred)
“I think the markets get it right, similar to the fire door that got slammed shut on WeWork. I fire think door is going to slam shut again on Palantir.”
Markets · Judgment call · by Dec 18, 2020 (inferred)
Only if: Palantir's direct listing is bid up by retail (Robinhood) traders
“If Palantir gets out and Robinhood traders just go, Oh, it's Palantir. It's got that weirdo Peter Thiel, who's also a crazy genius in terms of investor, and it gets bit up by kids in their basement, think that's going to be another signal that we are in for a massive scary correction.”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Mar 18, 2021 (inferred)
Only if: The markets behave rationally ('do what they're supposed to do')
“If the markets do what they're supposed to do, I think the markets are going to get a taste of this thing and throw up all over the table and say, No, not here.”
Markets · Conditional · Judgment call · by Dec 18, 2020 (inferred)
“It's to up and its supposed to do a direct listing anytime. Supposed to do a direct listing, I think, the next thirty days.”
Markets · Checkable · by Oct 18, 2020
